Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.797973 0.924478 1.061499 1.220552 1.399703 1.594841 1.823059
2024-12-22 0.606056 0.779723 0.984674 1.242646 1.556783 1.924886 2.386682
2024-12-29 0.502779 0.706246 0.963999 1.310333 1.758803 2.314764 3.050223
2025-01-05 0.404479 0.615308 0.899892 1.304851 1.857737 2.576589 3.570471
2025-01-12 0.329069 0.538633 0.838293 1.287084 1.928922 2.798481 4.046840
2025-01-19 0.273422 0.478994 0.788896 1.274947 1.999341 3.016800 4.525926
2025-01-26 0.238307 0.443882 0.768776 1.299482 2.119304 3.307049 5.118329
2025-02-02 0.207874 0.410674 0.745902 1.314777 2.223261 3.577429 5.695286
2025-02-09 0.181255 0.379170 0.720772 1.321869 2.312275 3.828165 6.254864
2025-02-16 0.163077 0.359616 0.712499 1.354107 2.441191 4.144531 6.927773
2025-02-23 0.144542 0.336135 0.693970 1.365964 2.536049 4.411638 7.537478
2025-03-02 0.121164 0.298868 0.645451 1.319574 2.528345 4.513532 7.891979
2025-03-09 0.110785 0.287313 0.644405 1.359605 2.673512 4.874698 8.685114
2025-03-16 0.100317 0.273800 0.637913 1.388847 2.801981 5.216211 9.465732
2025-03-23 0.095531 0.272399 0.655430 1.465092 3.019654 5.719007 10.536300
2025-03-30 0.083965 0.252724 0.632497 1.459663 3.086731 5.967470 11.193502
2025-04-06 0.072875 0.231958 0.604312 1.440299 3.125185 6.166754 11.775118
2025-04-13 0.063746 0.214334 0.580523 1.426996 3.173008 6.383362 12.394398
2025-04-20 0.058336 0.205732 0.576163 1.454050 3.300805 6.749396 13.290104
2025-04-27 0.052898 0.195921 0.567610 1.470905 3.408887 7.084101 14.144124
2025-05-04 0.047576 0.185296 0.555622 1.478718 3.498620 7.388507 14.956059
2025-05-11 0.044162 0.179864 0.555894 1.514218 3.647418 7.810393 15.997876
2025-05-18 0.040062 0.171297 0.546939 1.527271 3.749574 8.147817 16.897909